The School of Odds
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Central Córdoba v Lanus

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.28%23.40%23.40%25.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.823.854.2029.41%26.17%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanus (Visit)

Prediction 47.53%2.10fair odd
EV -6.84%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.67%47.53%47.53%49.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.881.9656.18%53.32%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.87%29.08%29.08%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.203.3535.09%32.10%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Córdoba (Local): 23.40%; Lanus (Visit): 47.53%; Draw: 29.08%. For Central Córdoba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -1.74%E -0.414%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%EV -10.17%E -5.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -1.74%E -0.414%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -10.65%E -5.66%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -2.60%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 14:55
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.08%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -12.07%E -6.53%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -7.59%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.27%EV -13.50%E -7.42%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -7.59%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.27%EV -13.50%E -7.42%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -9.93%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.10%EV -15.40%E -8.65%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-01 14:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 24.36%EV -15.07%E -4.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.35%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.29%EV -15.10%E -5.17%K -7.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -18.12%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -6.84%E -3.49%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -14.23%E -4.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-01 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.03%EV -18.12%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 46.46%EV -13.97%E -7.72%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.51%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-01 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%EV -20.46%E -6.02%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.67%EV -8.74%E -4.55%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.10%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-01 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.34%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%16.2%2026-11-01 19:25