The School of Odds
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Central Córdoba v Estudiantes

2026-10-11 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%24.82%24.87%26.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.603.8830.77%27.80%27.78%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 44.11%2.27fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.92%44.11%44.11%44.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1552.36%49.00%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.07%31.06%31.03%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.963.1037.04%34.32%33.78%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Córdoba (Local): 24.87%; Estudiantes (Visit): 44.11%; Draw: 31.03%. For Central Córdoba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.88, with an expected value of -3.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.45%EV -3.52%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.17%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -6.30%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 02:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -4.27%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.18%EV -7.81%E -3.74%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.03%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 01:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.09%EV -6.93%E -3.28%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.43%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 01:59
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -3.82%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 06:14
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.49%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -5.37%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 01:59
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 01:59
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.58%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 06:53
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -12.66%E -6.40%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -11.58%E -4.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-21 01:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 24.06%EV -12.23%E -3.46%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.47%EV -15.75%E -8.25%K -17.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.46%EV -16.23%E -6.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-21 01:33
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.58%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-21 01:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.38%EV -15.75%E -8.25%K -17.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.40%EV -16.23%E -6.01%K -9.55%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-21 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -14.21%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.09%EV -13.55%E -6.91%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.13%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-21 01:34
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -19.19%E -5.90%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -13.13%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-21 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 02:04