The School of Odds
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Central Córdoba v Estudiantes

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC

Final: Central Córdoba 2–2 Estudiantes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.31%32.24%32.26%33.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.882.883.0338.02%34.77%34.72%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 35.78%2.79fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.04%35.88%35.78%37.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.572.602.7343.48%38.94%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.98%3.13fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.09%31.88%31.95%33.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.37%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 32.23%; Estudiantes (Visit): 35.78%; Draw: 31.98%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.852%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.70%EV -2.33%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.18%EV -2.31%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.12%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -2.65%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.79%EV -3.39%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -2.65%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.79%EV -3.39%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 19:45
BetAnything🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -2.65%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.79%EV -3.39%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 19:45
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:45
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:45
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.31%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.16%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 19:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.90%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:45
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.90%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:45
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 19:45
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:45
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 19:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 19:55
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 19:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 19:45
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 19:50
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.37%EV -9.83%E -3.90%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.02%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -0.852%E -0.275%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -0.852%E -0.275%K -0.406%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 19:44
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 19:55
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -14.12%E -5.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-10 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -17.70%E -7.70%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.15%EV -12.00%E -4.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.27%EV -13.40%E -5.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.57%EV -11.09%E -3.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -15.23%E -5.79%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -3.39%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 18:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-10-10 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-10-10 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-10-10 19:50
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-10-10 19:55
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-10-10 19:45