Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba v Deportivo Riestra

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 00:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 30.45%3.28fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.45%30.28%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.013.003.2537.74%33.22%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Visit)

Prediction 32.79%3.05fair odd
EV -0.648%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.319%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%32.78%32.92%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.833.0340.00%35.67%35.40%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 36.77%2.72fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.34%36.77%36.80%38.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.69%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 30.45%; Deportivo Riestra (Visit): 32.79%; Draw: 36.77%. For Deportivo Riestra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.03, with an expected value of -0.648%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:00
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -2.27%E -0.707%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.97%EV -0.648%E -0.214%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.84%EV -5.88%E -2.30%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:00
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:00
Everygame🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 00:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 00:00
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 00:00
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 22:40
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -8.45%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:59
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.45%EV -8.45%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 22:55
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:58
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 00:00
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -2.57%E -0.971%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 00:00
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -3.68%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 00:00
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 00:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 00:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 23:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.55%E -2.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.08%EV -9.58%E -3.22%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.46%EV -12.45%E -4.66%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 23:58
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.15%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-18 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.27%EV -8.82%E -3.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 22:55
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-18 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.54%EV -12.45%E -4.66%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -13.60%E -5.79%K -10.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.75%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -8.09%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -14.75%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -13.76%E -5.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-18 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -19.32%E -7.29%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.03%E -7.21%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -13.60%E -5.79%K -10.08%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-18 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%1.0%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%1.3%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%1.3%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.69%1.3%2026-03-18 00:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70%2.0%2026-03-18 00:00
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.1%2026-03-18 00:00