The School of Odds
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Central Córdoba v Defensa y Justicia

2026-09-18 21:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.78%34.06%33.87%34.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.8140.00%38.01%38.17%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Defensa y Justicia (Visit)

Prediction 34.23%2.92fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.88%34.23%34.24%34.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.622.7740.00%38.12%38.17%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%31.71%31.89%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.903.0537.74%35.00%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Córdoba (Local): 34.06%; Defensa y Justicia (Visit): 34.23%; Draw: 31.71%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -3.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.30%EV -5.19%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.88%EV -5.50%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -5.99%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.90%E -2.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.87%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.03%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.28%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 18:28
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -13.14%E -5.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -11.21%E -4.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.88%EV -13.14%E -5.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.88%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.24%EV -15.02%E -5.60%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -14.85%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -11.21%E -4.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.85%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -14.85%E -5.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.05%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-06 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.