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Central Córdoba v Defensa y Justicia

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 21:00 UTC

Final: Central Córdoba 2–2 Defensa y Justicia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.67%35.43%35.56%36.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.7541.67%37.98%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Defensa y Justicia (Visit)

Prediction 33.28%3.00fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.588%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.61%33.54%33.25%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.752.9740.82%36.31%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.11%3.21fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%31.03%31.19%33.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.983.003.1537.74%33.59%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 35.61%; Defensa y Justicia (Visit): 33.28%; Draw: 31.11%. For Defensa y Justicia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.97, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 21:04
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -11.35%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -11.35%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -3.13%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -2.82%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -4.19%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -3.13%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -2.82%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -4.19%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 13:59
BetAnything🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -3.13%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -2.82%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -4.19%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 13:57
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -1.16%E -0.390%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -4.81%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 21:00
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -11.81%E -4.46%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 16:31
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:14
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:10
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.12%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:36
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -2.01%E -0.639%K -0.937%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -16.01%E -5.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -16.01%E -5.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:25
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.95%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.62%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.43%EV -6.06%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:53
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.15%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.81%E -4.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -18.46%E -7.54%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.29%EV -12.47%E -4.74%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.04%EV -17.57%E -6.63%K -10.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-15 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.76%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.43%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -11.81%E -4.46%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -8.23%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.00%EV -11.68%E -4.71%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.43%EV -11.14%E -4.17%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.57%EV -9.17%E -3.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.62%EV -12.03%E -4.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.95%EV -11.14%E -4.17%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 14:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-09-18 14:55
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-09-18 14:25