Language:English
Central Córdoba v Boca Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Central Córdoba (Local)
Prediction 18.26%5.48fair odd
EV +8.13%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 5.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.20%18.34%18.19%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.035.005.9222.73%19.89%20.00%16.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 52.35%1.91fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%52.32%52.35%54.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.771.771.8361.73%56.57%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -0.105%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.044%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.77%29.34%29.46%30.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.153.4034.72%31.84%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 18.26%; Boca Juniors (Visit): 52.35%; Draw: 29.38%. For Central Córdoba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.20%EV +8.13%E +1.37%K +1.65%G +0.134% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.48%EV -7.86%E -4.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -3.92%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.86%EV +3.20%E +0.566%K +0.687%G +0.022% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.86%EV +3.20%E +0.566%K +0.687%G +0.022% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.21%EV +0.639%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.33%EV -0.457%E -0.084%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.90%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -0.105%E -0.031%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.33%EV -0.457%E -0.084%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.90%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -0.105%E -0.031%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -1.37%E -0.254%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -3.20%E -0.603%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -6.29%E -3.51%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -9.51%E -3.09%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 18:52 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.74%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.17%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.01%EV -15.19%E -9.37%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.82%EV -15.38%E -5.34%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-02 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -11.42%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.96%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -7.86%E -4.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -7.86%E -4.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.73%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.10%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -14.80%E -5.10%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.31%EV -10.47%E -6.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -9.80%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.55%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.90%EV -12.04%E -7.17%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -13.33%E -4.52%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -15.98%E -3.47%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -15.98%E -3.47%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -7.86%E -4.46%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -19.64%E -4.46%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.97% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.97% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 19:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.97% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.09% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97% | 2.7% | 2026-05-02 19:10 |