The School of Odds

Central Córdoba v Atlético Tucuman

2026-07-31 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.30%33.65%33.71%34.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.672.692.8541%37%37%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.06%34.35%34.33%34.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.662.7842%38%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.00%3.13fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.99%32.00%31.96%32.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.842.9537%35%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.36%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.45%EV -6.25%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 18:24
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 16:59
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.21%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 18:19
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:24
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:23
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 16:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 16:29
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-17 16:24
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.12%EV -14.19%E -5.56%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.80%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-17 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.50%EV -14.19%E -5.56%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.87%EV -15.83%E -6.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%17.1%2026-07-17 16:24
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.15%EV -17.55%E -7.17%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.86%EV -17.55%E -7.31%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%19.5%2026-07-17 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.