Language:English
CA Tigre BA v Velez Sarsfield BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prediction 40.62%2.46fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.98%40.36%40.62%41.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.302.5548.78%43.92%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit)
Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV -0.330%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.32%26.02%25.95%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.553.603.8531.75%28.17%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.49%2.99fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.611%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.62%33.43%34.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.762.802.9541.67%36.24%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 40.62%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit): 25.89%; Draw: 33.49%. For CA Tigre BA (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV +3.57%E +1.40%K +2.31%G +0.082% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -18.45%E -5.86%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -1.11%E -0.290%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.33%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.98%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.427%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.98%EV -8.90%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.98%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.427%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.98%EV -8.90%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.51%EV -6.17%E -2.67%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.43%EV -2.40%E -0.637%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.87%E -0.989%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -1.19%E -0.404%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -1.19%E -0.404%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.62%E -0.427%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.55%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.90%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -2.87%E -0.989%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -0.330%E -0.086%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -1.62%E -0.427%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.57%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -6.22%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.42%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.42%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.64%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -12.25%E -4.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -10.64%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.57%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.64%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.92%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -10.64%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -16.26%E -6.51%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.89%EV -11.45%E -5.25%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -10.24%E -3.82%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-10 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.67%E -5.89%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.67%E -5.89%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.92%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.55%EV -16.73%E -8.16%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.81%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.64%EV -19.61%E -8.17%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |