A Escola das Odds

CA Tigre BA v Gimnasia La Plata

Início: 2026-03-02 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Previsão 46.00%2.17odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.27%45.98%46.05%46.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.69%49.50%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)

Previsão 22.57%4.43odd justa
EV +1.58%
Vantagem +0.351%
Kelly +0.451%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.14%22.59%22.56%23.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.054.004.5027.78%24.71%25.00%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.42%3.18odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.45%31.43%31.39%32.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.932.943.0838.46%34.16%34.01%32.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.451%G +0.007%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.56%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 00:04
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.451%G +0.007%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.56%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.96%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.64%EV +0.902%E +0.202%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -3.22%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-02 00:14
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -2.26%E -0.522%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.31%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 00:08
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -2.94%E -0.683%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.31%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 00:14
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.12%EV -6.61%E -3.26%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -4.06%E -0.956%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.85%EV -7.62%E -2.59%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 00:14
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.37%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.06%E -0.956%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -7.62%E -2.59%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 00:14
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 00:14
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 00:13
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 00:14
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.88%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 00:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.88%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 21:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 00:04
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 00:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.88%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 23:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -12.02%E -4.29%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-02 00:04
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.84%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.84%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.84%E -2.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.22%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -11.29%E -2.87%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -9.82%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-02 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 00:14
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 00:14
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.13%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-02 00:14
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -12.02%E -4.29%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-02 00:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -11.67%E -6.08%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -10.45%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-02 00:14
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.88%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 00:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.45%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-02 00:04
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26%EV -8.88%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 00:14
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26%EV -8.88%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 00:14
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.17%EV -17.19%E -9.55%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.87%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.96%EV -18.30%E -7.04%K -11.44%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -11.67%E -6.08%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -16.48%E -4.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -10.45%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-02 00:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -18.74%E -5.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -15.16%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-02 00:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-03-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-03-02 00:14