Language:English
CA Tigre BA v Banfield
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prediction 52.40%1.91fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.13%52.52%52.33%55.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.751.771.8562.11%57.05%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Banfield (Visit)
Prediction 19.39%5.16fair odd
EV +5.10%
Edge +0.941%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 5.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.84%19.34%19.60%20.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.805.4222.73%20.73%20.83%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.14%28.08%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 52.40%; Banfield (Visit): 19.39%; Draw: 28.20%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.84%EV +5.10%E +0.941%K +1.15%G +0.059% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.84%EV +5.10%E +0.941%K +1.15%G +0.059% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.84%EV +5.10%E +0.941%K +1.15%G +0.059% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -7.25%E -4.09%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV +1.81%E +0.344%K +0.425%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.91%E -6.42%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.836%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.91%E -6.42%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.836%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.64%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.60%EV +0.448%E +0.087%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -5.51%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.25%E -4.09%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -3.04%E -0.608%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.04%E -0.608%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.87%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.31%EV -3.62%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -6.20%E -3.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 21:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.51%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.51%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -7.25%E -4.09%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.51%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -13.53%E -8.20%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -13.53%E -8.20%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -10.91%E -6.42%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -15.63%E -9.71%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.48%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.65%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -8.86%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -7.25%E -4.09%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -9.34%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -8.82%E -5.07%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.51%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 21:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.35%EV -15.11%E -9.32%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.21%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.44%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.19%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -13.71%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%EV -12.00%E -3.85%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -9.87%E -5.74%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.73% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |