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CA Tigre BA v Atlético Tucuman
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.51%48.49%48.54%49.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.911.9757.14%52.52%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Tucuman (Visit)
Prediction 21.50%4.65fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 4.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.97%21.49%21.46%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.324.314.8125.64%23.17%23.17%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%30.02%30.00%31.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.103.2035.09%32.59%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 48.50%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 21.50%; Draw: 30.00%. For Atlético Tucuman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.52%EV -5.91%E -3.05%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.97%EV +3.41%E +0.710%K +0.896%G +0.031% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.50%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +3.20%E +0.667%K +0.842%G +0.027% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +3.20%E +0.667%K +0.842%G +0.027% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-23 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +3.20%E +0.667%K +0.842%G +0.027% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.42%EV +1.69%E +0.358%K +0.454%G +0.008% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.28%EV -4.29%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-23 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.25%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.33%E -0.972%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.39%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-23 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.88%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.88%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -5.91%E -3.05%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -12.70%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-23 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-24 00:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.28%EV -6.88%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -13.59%E -4.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -13.59%E -4.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67%EV -6.88%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.88%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -14.49%E -5.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-24 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.67%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.24%EV -15.13%E -8.65%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.98%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.06%EV -14.43%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.96%EV -12.09%E -4.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.65%EV -8.82%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -16.15%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-10-24 00:10 |