Language:English
Boca Juniors v Central Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prediction 67.19%1.49fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -9.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%67.18%67.17%69.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.371.371.4378.13%73.04%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 11.47%8.72fair odd
EV +14.68%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.239%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.41%11.41%11.52%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.328.0010.0014.81%12.02%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.34%4.69fair odd
EV -0.774%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.48%21.41%21.31%23.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.314.334.6525.13%23.22%23.09%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boca Juniors (Local): 67.19%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 11.47%; Draw: 21.34%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.72. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -9.29%E -6.88%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +14.68%E +1.47%K +1.63%G +0.239% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.98%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -9.29%E -6.88%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +14.68%E +1.47%K +1.63%G +0.239% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.98%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.50%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV +8.94%E +0.942%K +1.05%G +0.094% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -0.774%E -0.167%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.50%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV +8.94%E +0.942%K +1.05%G +0.094% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -0.774%E -0.167%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.50%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV +8.94%E +0.942%K +1.05%G +0.094% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -0.774%E -0.167%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -9.96%E -7.43%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +8.94%E +0.942%K +1.05%G +0.094% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.18%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 07:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -12.65%E -9.73%K -42.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV +3.21%E +0.357%K +0.401%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 07:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -12.65%E -9.73%K -42.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV +3.21%E +0.357%K +0.401%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV +0.917%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -13.58%E -3.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV +0.917%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -13.58%E -3.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 07:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.00%EV -0.803%E -0.093%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.49%EV -5.47%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.08%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.08%EV -2.06%E -0.242%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.84%EV -3.12%E -0.688%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.59%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -7.18%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.91%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.36%EV -13.99%E -10.93%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -2.52%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 07:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.01%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.727%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 06:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 12:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.11%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 06:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -7.18%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 06:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.98%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.98%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -10.63%E -7.99%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -11.12%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.18%EV -11.98%E -9.14%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.36%EV -11.12%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -12.51%E -3.05%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-09 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.07%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -13.99%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 09:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.36%EV -11.98%E -9.14%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 11.91%EV -16.28%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-09 09:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.89%EV -10.63%E -7.99%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -16.86%E -2.33%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.02%EV -15.07%E -3.79%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 09:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -8.24%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 09:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -19.72%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -9.29%E -6.88%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.15%EV -22.59%E -3.35%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.38%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 09:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.98% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | -0.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.62% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |