Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.46
assuming max odds 3.65
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belgrano de Cordoba (Local): 39.24%; Talleres (Visit): 27.31%; Draw: 33.45%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.306%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.36%EV -3.48%E -1.41%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.74%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -7.01%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -7.01%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.86%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -0.306%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.82%EV -5.00%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -1.13%E -0.311%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -1.13%E -0.311%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -1.32%E -0.448%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -1.32%E -0.448%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -7.34%E -2.65%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.01%E -2.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.01%E -2.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.68%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -7.79%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -1.32%E -0.448%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.79%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.79%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.79%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.79%E -3.32%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -13.96%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.36%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.03%E -5.01%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -9.76%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -13.03%E -5.01%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -10.54%E -4.62%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -10.54%E -4.62%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.29%EV -10.93%E -4.82%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.28%EV -10.35%E -3.86%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 20:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.34%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.68%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-15 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.72%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.68%E -3.59%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.40%EV -13.68%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.96%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.08%EV -12.36%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.89%EV -15.64%E -7.28%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.97%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -18.05%E -7.37%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-15 20:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 20:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.42% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.63% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 20:15 |