Language:English
Belgrano de Cordoba v River Plate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belgrano de Cordoba (Local)
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.479%
Kelly +0.645%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.04%26.07%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.563.523.9029.85%28.12%28.37%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
River Plate (Visit)
Prediction 43.48%2.30fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%43.48%43.51%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.112.122.2052.36%47.44%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.48%30.42%31.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.043.053.2034.72%32.85%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belgrano de Cordoba (Local): 26.12%; River Plate (Visit): 43.48%; Draw: 30.40%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.78%EV +1.87%E +0.479%K +0.645%G +0.012% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.743%E -0.195%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.28%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.743%E -0.195%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.28%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.743%E -0.195%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.31%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.28%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%EV -0.743%E -0.195%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.55%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.71%E -0.847%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 22:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.05%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.39%EV -6.97%E -2.28%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 05:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 23:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 23:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -11.31%E -5.54%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -11.31%E -5.54%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.20%EV -16.96%E -8.88%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.77%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-18 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 05:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-18 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 22:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.59%EV -11.22%E -3.84%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -13.05%E -6.52%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 22:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -13.05%E -6.52%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-18 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 22:50 |