Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba v Barracas Central

2026-11-01 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba (Local)

Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -5.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.96%56.20%56.20%56.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.621.7166.23%61.90%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barracas Central (Visit)

Prediction 15.99%6.25fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.33%15.98%15.99%17.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.475.506.0020.41%18.27%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%27.82%27.80%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.4333.33%30.71%30.30%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Belgrano de Cordoba (Local): 56.20%; Barracas Central (Visit): 15.99%; Draw: 27.80%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.71, with an expected value of -3.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.66%EV -8.68%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.73%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.04%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.04%E -0.674%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -10.44%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.69%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.70%E -4.04%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.04%E -0.674%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 19:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -4.04%E -0.674%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.04%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.96%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -16.59%E -5.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-18 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.72%EV -11.20%E -7.09%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -20.04%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.28%EV -11.76%E -7.49%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%EV -13.64%E -2.53%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.36%EV -10.20%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-18 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.38%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.63%EV -21.63%E -4.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-18 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.08%EV -15.13%E -10.02%K -29.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.60%EV -18.44%E -3.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -13.81%E -4.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-18 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%170.3%2026-10-18 23:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%170.3%2026-10-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 21:50