Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba v Atlético Tucuman

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba (Local)

Prediction 53.24%1.88fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.26%53.36%53.24%54.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.731.731.8064.10%57.84%57.64%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV +0.787%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.187%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.84%19.35%19.41%20.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.804.805.2023.81%20.81%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.39%27.29%27.35%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.363.403.5634.72%29.74%29.41%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belgrano de Cordoba (Local): 53.24%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 19.38%; Draw: 27.37%. For Atlético Tucuman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.787%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.88%EV -10.02%E -5.93%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV +0.787%E +0.151%K +0.187%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.96%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.68%EV +0.205%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -3.37%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 00:25
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.79%EV -0.958%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.65%EV -7.35%E -4.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.71%EV -2.55%E -0.716%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.65%EV -7.35%E -4.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.71%EV -2.55%E -0.716%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:19
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.89%E -4.56%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.82%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.89%E -4.56%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -1.15%E -0.226%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.82%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:19
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -8.42%E -4.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.95%E -5.24%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:20
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.89%E -4.56%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.42%E -4.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.09%E -0.618%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.34%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.03%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.48%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -11.08%E -6.64%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.03%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -11.08%E -6.64%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -5.03%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 00:19
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.23%E -2.94%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.41%EV -6.00%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.23%E -2.94%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.41%EV -6.00%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -6.00%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:19
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -6.97%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.23%E -2.94%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.89%E -4.56%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.48%E -5.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -7.94%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 00:19
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.90%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 00:23
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.90%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -8.90%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -13.77%E -4.37%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 00:19
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.48%E -5.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -10.84%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -15.14%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-25 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.84%EV -10.02%E -5.93%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.49%E -3.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 00:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.43%EV -13.21%E -8.11%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-25 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -11.08%E -6.64%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -21.16%E -7.35%K -11.26%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-25 00:17
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 53.57%EV -16.94%E -10.86%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -12.78%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -17.88%E -5.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-25 00:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.79%EV -10.55%E -6.28%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.93%EV -13.75%E -3.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-25 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -8.42%E -4.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.72%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-25 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -10.55%E -6.28%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -18.60%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-25 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.76%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.76%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-02-25 00:25
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-02-25 00:25
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.47%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-02-25 00:25