Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba v Atlético Huracán

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba (Local)

Prediction 44.66%2.24fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.35%44.77%44.81%46.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.032.052.1953.19%49.26%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.83%23.70%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.834.3028.57%25.83%26.11%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.37%3.19fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.38%31.40%31.49%32.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.953.1037.74%34.39%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belgrano de Cordoba (Local): 44.66%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 23.97%; Draw: 31.37%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 00:14
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 00:14
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -12.02%E -6.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV +0.681%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-27 00:09
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:05
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:29
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -14.70%E -7.69%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -14.70%E -7.69%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -16.04%E -8.53%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.04%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -13.74%E -5.00%K -7.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-27 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.83%EV -5.76%E -2.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.45%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:14
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:04
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.35%EV -2.19%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -8.19%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.86%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.76%E -0.892%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -3.98%E -1.85%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -8.10%E -2.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.11%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.11%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.11%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.11%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.57%E -5.84%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -11.30%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.09%EV -14.37%E -5.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.16%EV -13.80%E -7.15%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.16%EV -16.88%E -6.37%K -10.23%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.75%EV -11.57%E -5.84%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.75%EV -16.10%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.74%E -5.00%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.91%E -6.62%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -16.10%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-29 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 43.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.02%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.51%15.6%2026-08-27 20:05