Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba v Atlético Huracán

2026-09-04 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belgrano de Cordoba (Local)

Prediction 46.55%2.15fair odd
EV -6.91%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -6.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.30%46.55%46.55%46.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.942.0053.19%51.41%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV -6.12%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%21.83%21.83%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.134.104.3025.32%24.24%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -6.72%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.59%31.62%31.62%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.852.9536.36%34.99%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Belgrano de Cordoba (Local): 46.55%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 21.83%; Draw: 31.62%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -6.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.12%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.12%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -8.30%E -4.21%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -8.30%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.09%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -12.49%E -6.64%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.04%EV -13.76%E -3.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -13.05%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-29 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.