The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Barracas Central v Banfield

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.779%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.11%37.52%37.54%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.6344.44%40.77%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Banfield (Visit)

Prediction 31.12%3.21fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.763%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.66%31.05%31.12%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.993.1637.04%33.90%33.44%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%31.43%31.34%32.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.922.993.0538.02%34.22%33.50%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 37.54%; Banfield (Visit): 31.12%; Draw: 31.34%. For Barracas Central (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.63, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -1.27%E -0.483%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -1.65%E -0.521%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%EV -6.62%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 14:05
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.27%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 13:55
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.20%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.45%EV -7.25%E -2.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.35%EV -6.31%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 14:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -7.87%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:34
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 14:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.74%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -12.85%E -4.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -17.59%E -6.69%K -10.79%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-06 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -12.85%E -4.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.71%EV -15.53%E -6.90%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.43%EV -15.96%E -5.91%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.86%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-06 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.