The School of Odds
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Barracas Central v Atlético Huracán

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 18:45 UTC

Final: Barracas Central 2–0 Atlético Huracán

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV +0.118%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.63%28.65%30.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.253.5034.72%31.03%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 37.36%2.68fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.51%37.38%37.29%38.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.502.5945.45%40.45%40.00%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.03%2.94fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.93%33.99%34.06%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.8540.00%36.74%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 28.61%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 37.36%; Draw: 34.03%. For Barracas Central (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.496. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.118%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV +0.118%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV +0.118%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 18:40
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV +0.118%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 18:40
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -1.31%E -0.380%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:40
Pinnacle🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -2.17%E -0.635%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.33%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.40%EV -4.36%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 18:40
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -2.17%E -0.635%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.69%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.20%EV -4.36%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 18:39
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.74%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -5.85%E -2.32%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.38%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:30
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -5.85%E -2.32%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.38%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 18:37
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 18:34
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.33%E -4.31%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.33%E -4.31%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.33%E -4.31%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 18:29
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.08%E -4.66%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.91%E -5.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-10 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -3.00%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.73%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -3.00%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 18:40
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 18:25
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 18:25
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.60%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 18:30
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -12.75%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -12.75%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -10.33%E -4.31%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.83%E -4.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.75%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -17.81%E -8.09%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 28.95%EV -13.33%E -4.40%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.20%E -5.19%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -11.51%E -4.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.18%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.33%E -4.31%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -15.62%E -5.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -15.62%E -5.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -8.47%E -3.46%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -10.33%E -4.31%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.78%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%1.0%2026-10-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.78%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%1.0%2026-10-10 18:40
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.78%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%1.0%2026-10-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.00%1.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.29%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-10-10 18:35