Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central v Atlético Huracán

2026-10-10 17:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prediction 30.77%3.25fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%30.77%30.77%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.033.053.0533.33%33.00%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 37.24%2.69fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.91%37.24%37.24%37.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.482.452.5541.67%40.32%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.99%3.13fair odd
EV -6.60%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%31.99%31.99%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.892.902.9235.71%34.63%34.48%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barracas Central (Local): 30.77%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 37.24%; Draw: 31.99%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -5.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.15%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.04%E -1.97%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:05
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.15%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.04%E -1.97%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:04
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.15%E -2.02%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 14:00
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.69%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 14:04
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.69%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.62%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-27 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.31%160.2%2026-09-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.31%160.2%2026-09-27 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.31%160.2%2026-09-27 14:00