Language:English
Banfield v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Banfield (Local)
Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.344%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.76%22.69%22.53%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.004.3526.67%24.61%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.90%49.07%49.05%51.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.881.901.9557.47%53.26%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -0.903%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.12%28.25%28.42%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.4532.26%30.36%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 22.64%; Rosario Central (Visit): 49.01%; Draw: 28.34%. For Banfield (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.35, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV -1.50%E -0.344%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.46%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.63%E -0.611%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.99%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.21%E -0.641%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-28 07:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -2.63%E -0.611%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -2.21%E -0.641%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 07:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -2.85%E -0.665%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.19%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.68%EV -6.18%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.76%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.17%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.76%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.17%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.91%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 12:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 12:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 09:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 00:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.46%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-28 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.46%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-28 07:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.21%E -0.641%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 04:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 06:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-01 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -9.87%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.95%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.41%EV -10.15%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -10.55%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.89%EV -13.74%E -7.81%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -10.55%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.40%EV -14.72%E -8.46%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-28 07:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.69%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -15.08%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.08%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -7.88%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 10:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |