The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Banfield v Lanus

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 17:45 UTC

Final: Banfield 1–1 Lanus

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield (Local)

Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV +8.30%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.212%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%25.35%25.60%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.604.2529.41%27.30%27.78%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanus (Visit)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%45.33%45.17%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.042.042.1253.76%49.14%48.90%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -0.614%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.257%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%29.32%29.22%30.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.153.153.3933.90%31.74%31.75%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 25.48%; Lanus (Visit): 45.20%; Draw: 29.32%. For Banfield (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +8.30%E +1.95%K +2.55%G +0.212%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -10.50%E -5.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.49%EV -0.614%E -0.181%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 17:31
BetOnline.ag🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +8.30%E +1.95%K +2.55%G +0.212%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -10.50%E -5.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.49%EV -0.614%E -0.181%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 17:31
BetAnything🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV +8.30%E +1.95%K +2.55%G +0.212%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%EV -10.50%E -5.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.49%EV -0.614%E -0.181%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 17:31
Pinnacle🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.27%EV -2.40%E -0.628%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.17%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -2.37%E -0.713%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 17:35
1xBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.64%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.13%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 17:14
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -5.98%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 17:40
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:30
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 17:40
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -4.17%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -4.17%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -6.89%E -3.34%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 17:31
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -6.89%E -3.34%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 17:31
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.79%E -3.82%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 17:40
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 17:40
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -8.69%E -4.30%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 17:31
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.98%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 17:40
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 17:00
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 16:55
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 17:40
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 17:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 17:24
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 17:35
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 17:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 17:31
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.98%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -10.50%E -5.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 17:31
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -10.50%E -5.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 17:31
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -10.95%E -5.56%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 17:38
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.17%EV -12.76%E -6.61%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-24 17:31
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.53%EV -15.93%E -8.56%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.38%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-24 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 17:40
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -12.31%E -6.35%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.03%EV -11.46%E -3.80%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-10-24 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-10-24 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-10-24 17:40
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.0%2026-10-24 17:40
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-10-24 17:40