The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Banfield v Lanus

2026-10-24 17:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield (Local)

Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%29.89%29.89%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.70%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanus (Visit)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.58%38.50%38.50%39.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.302.5046.51%42.92%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.61%3.16fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.66%31.61%31.61%32.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.803.0537.74%35.18%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Banfield (Local): 29.89%; Lanus (Visit): 38.50%; Draw: 31.61%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -3.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%EV -3.75%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -5.79%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 28.76%EV -7.95%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.02%EV -12.61%E -5.55%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 22:48
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 22:49
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 22:48
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.35%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.56%EV -17.23%E -8.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.09%EV -16.23%E -6.12%K -9.83%G +0.000%17.6%2026-10-11 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -11.83%E -4.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -13.38%E -5.94%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-11 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.48%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -15.30%E -6.95%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.66%EV -14.64%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-11 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -13.92%E -4.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -7.60%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 22:49
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -17.81%E -6.48%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.45%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-11 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.