Language:English
Banfield v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Banfield (Local)
Prediction 37.42%2.67fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.127%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.62%37.30%37.30%38.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.8042.55%39.71%40.00%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 30.44%3.29fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.98%30.55%30.56%35.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.973.003.4039.22%33.65%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.14%3.11fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.86%32.15%32.14%33.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.0537.04%34.73%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 37.42%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 30.44%; Draw: 32.14%. For Banfield (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV +4.78%E +1.71%K +2.66%G +0.127% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -17.82%E -6.60%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -1.97%E -0.646%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV +4.78%E +1.71%K +2.66%G +0.127% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -17.82%E -6.60%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -1.97%E -0.646%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV +4.78%E +1.71%K +2.66%G +0.127% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -19.34%E -7.30%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -1.97%E -0.646%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV +3.66%E +1.32%K +2.07%G +0.076% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.44%EV -4.86%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV +1.04%E +0.385%K +0.611%G +0.006% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -20.86%E -8.02%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV +1.04%E +0.385%K +0.611%G +0.006% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -20.86%E -8.02%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -0.832%E -0.314%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -22.39%E -8.78%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.15%E -2.11%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.15%E -2.11%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.07%E -2.42%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -7.47%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +3.49%E +1.03%K +1.45%G +0.051% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +3.49%E +1.03%K +1.45%G +0.051% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +3.49%E +1.03%K +1.45%G +0.051% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.12%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 20:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -12.34%E -4.29%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -6.82%E -2.74%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV +1.35%E +0.407%K +0.581%G +0.008% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -2.93%E -0.971%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -8.32%E -3.39%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.60%E -0.813%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.32%E -3.39%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.32%E -3.39%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.32%E -3.39%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.19%E -4.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.19%E -4.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.19%E -4.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-20 19:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -10.19%E -4.24%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -19.95%E -7.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.52%EV -10.94%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-20 19:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -12.06%E -5.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.73%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.06%E -5.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -12.06%E -5.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.96%EV -12.58%E -4.62%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.99% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75% | 0.1% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.66% | 0.4% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02% | 3.1% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |