L’École des cotes

Banfield v CA Tigre BA

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Banfield (Local)

Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV -0.805%
Avantage -0.254%
Kelly -0.371%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.83%31.32%31.30%32.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.942.953.1737.74%33.99%33.90%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CA Tigre BA (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.317%
Avantage -0.110%
Kelly -0.169%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.67%34.57%34.59%35.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.672.692.8841.67%37.45%37.17%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.10%2.93cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.88%34.11%34.11%35.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.692.702.8040.82%37.22%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.56%EV -0.805%E -0.254%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.85%EV -5.21%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 23:45
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -2.37%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.85%EV -6.89%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.11%EV -8.96%E -3.36%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.00%E -0.966%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.00%E -0.966%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.59%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.36%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:40
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.93%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:25
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.93%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:25
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:39
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:39
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:45
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:45
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:44
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 23:25
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 23:20
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -0.317%E -0.110%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -0.317%E -0.110%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 23:40
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -1.36%E -0.476%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:35
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 23:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.93%E -7.05%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.76%E -5.90%K -9.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-20 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 23:44
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -11.44%E -4.04%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -11.74%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.44%EV -8.96%E -3.36%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 23:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -13.05%E -5.12%K -8.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 23:40
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 23:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 23:35
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.48%EV -12.78%E -5.07%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.48%EV -14.08%E -5.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -15.51%E -5.75%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-20 23:35
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.61%EV -17.08%E -6.44%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.19%EV -15.20%E -6.20%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.19%EV -16.46%E -6.72%K -11.35%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-20 23:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%1.7%2026-03-20 23:25
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%1.9%2026-03-20 23:35