La escuela de los momios

Banfield v CA Tigre BA

Inicio: 2026-03-21 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Banfield (Local)

Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.805%
Ventaja -0.254%
Kelly -0.371%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.83%31.32%31.30%32.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.942.953.1737.74%33.99%33.90%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Tigre BA (Visitante)

Predicción 34.61%2.89momio equitativo
EV -0.317%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.169%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.67%34.57%34.59%35.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.672.692.8841.67%37.45%37.17%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 34.10%2.93momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%34.11%34.11%35.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.692.702.8040.82%37.22%37.04%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.56%EV -0.805%E -0.254%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.85%EV -5.21%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 23:45
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -2.37%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.85%EV -6.89%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.11%EV -8.96%E -3.36%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.00%E -0.966%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:40
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -3.00%E -0.966%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.59%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.36%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:40
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.93%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:25
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.93%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:25
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:40
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:39
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:39
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:45
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:45
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:44
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 23:25
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.12%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 23:20
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -0.317%E -0.110%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -0.317%E -0.110%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 23:40
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -1.36%E -0.476%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:35
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.25%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 23:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.93%E -7.05%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.76%E -5.90%K -9.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-20 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 23:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 23:44
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -11.44%E -4.04%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -11.74%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.44%EV -8.96%E -3.36%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 23:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -13.05%E -5.12%K -8.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 23:40
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 23:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 23:35
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -12.38%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.48%EV -12.78%E -5.07%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.48%EV -14.08%E -5.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -15.51%E -5.75%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-20 23:35
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.61%EV -17.08%E -6.44%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.19%EV -15.20%E -6.20%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.19%EV -16.46%E -6.72%K -11.35%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-20 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-03-20 23:40
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%1.7%2026-03-20 23:25
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%1.9%2026-03-20 23:35