Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 2.72
assuming max odds 3.04
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 31.68%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 36.48%; Draw: 31.83%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -0.767%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.78%E -0.574%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.78%E -0.574%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -0.767%E -0.282%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -0.767%E -0.282%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -0.767%E -0.282%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.93%EV -4.00%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.24%EV -2.59%E -0.970%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.83%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 21:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.32%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -9.28%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 21:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -4.95%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -10.62%E -4.33%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.58%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.09%EV -4.05%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.06%EV -5.77%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.58%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -4.42%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -5.58%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -4.42%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 21:53 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -13.17%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-10 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -13.17%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.28%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.37%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 21:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -14.27%E -6.07%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -8.12%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.50%EV -15.00%E -6.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -14.05%E -5.20%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.75%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.75%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.75%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.70%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -9.70%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.62%E -4.33%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.70%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.62%E -4.33%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.70%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.44%E -5.18%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -9.91%E -3.50%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.44%E -5.18%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -8.79%E -3.52%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -14.05%E -5.20%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.03%EV -12.87%E -4.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.95%EV -10.62%E -4.33%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.03%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-10 21:48 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
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