The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Banfield v Belgrano de Cordoba

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield (Local)

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.27%30.39%30.45%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.31%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)

Prediction 37.86%2.64fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%37.78%38.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5643.48%41.13%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.01%31.83%31.55%33.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.913.0538.46%34.73%34.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 30.52%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 37.86%; Draw: 31.62%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 11:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 11:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.41%EV -6.10%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 22:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 08:50
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.90%EV -6.31%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.05%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.05%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:25
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -7.84%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 20:05
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:29
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 22:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.31%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 14:19
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.94%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.85%EV -12.16%E -5.24%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.89%EV -15.58%E -5.83%K -9.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 20:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -17.79%E -6.84%K -11.12%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -8.94%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-29 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -11.02%E -4.69%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.63%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-29 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.38%EV -12.91%E -5.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.45%EV -16.21%E -6.12%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-29 22:00
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -12.91%E -5.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -13.05%E -4.74%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-29 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 29.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%15.8%2026-07-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 31.46%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.46%1.01I 99.01%NM 37.07%167.1%2026-08-02 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 31.46%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.46%1.01I 99.01%NM 37.07%167.1%2026-08-02 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 31.46%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.46%1.01I 99.01%NM 37.07%167.1%2026-08-02 05:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.