Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield v Belgrano de Cordoba

2026-08-09 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Banfield (Local)

Prediction 30.23%3.31fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.24%30.23%30.23%31.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.1535.71%33.82%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)

Prediction 37.69%2.65fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.768%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.21%37.69%37.69%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.382.6243.86%41.70%42.11%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.01%32.07%32.07%33.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.773.0038.46%35.80%36.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.41%EV -6.52%E -2.63%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 22:00
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:00
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.41%EV -8.70%E -2.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -1.24%E -0.475%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.38%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 22:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 22:00
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -10.81%E -3.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -11.42%E -4.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -16.61%E -6.39%K -10.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.24%EV -10.81%E -3.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.83%EV -14.06%E -6.17%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -15.97%E -6.09%K -9.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-29 22:00
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-29 22:05
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -11.42%E -4.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-29 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -13.84%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.38%EV -13.31%E -5.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.45%EV -15.00%E -5.66%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-29 22:00
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -15.35%E -5.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.31%E -5.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-29 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-29 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-29 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-29 22:05