Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.93
assuming max odds 2.88
assuming max odds 3.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 33.85%; Instituto de Córdoba (Visit): 34.07%; Draw: 32.07%. For Atlético Tucuman (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.93, with an expected value of -0.808%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.97%EV -0.808%E -0.276%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.53%EV -4.75%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.97%EV -0.808%E -0.276%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.53%EV -4.75%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 13:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.97%EV -0.808%E -0.276%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.53%EV -4.75%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -1.15%E -0.393%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.46%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -7.32%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -7.32%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -4.19%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.27%EV -5.61%E -2.03%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -7.32%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -7.58%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 19:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -12.43%E -4.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.42%EV -12.77%E -4.69%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -10.96%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -1.87%E -0.648%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -1.87%E -0.648%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.18%E -0.715%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 07:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 07:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.41%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -15.37%E -6.15%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-19 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -17.06%E -6.96%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -17.06%E -6.96%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -17.73%E -7.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.20% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |