L’École des cotes

Atlético Tucuman v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 45.77%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%45.72%45.75%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.64%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.76%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -0.838%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.13%24.79%24.69%26.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.693.703.9430.77%27.11%27.03%25.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.47%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.54%29.49%29.56%30.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.153.3034.48%31.93%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:55
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.84%EV -5.99%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:59
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.45%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.84%EV -5.99%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:59
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.84%EV -5.25%E -2.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.84%EV -5.25%E -2.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:19
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.13%EV -2.46%E -0.625%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:05
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 23:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 07:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 01:45
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 01:45
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:14
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 23:09
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.90%EV -6.62%E -3.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.38%EV -4.94%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:14
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.54%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -4.94%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 00:09
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 21:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 21:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 21:19
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 07:02
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 23:00
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 07:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:45
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 23:19
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.64%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.81%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.83%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.28%E -5.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 06:30
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.35%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -14.59%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.06%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 02:54
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.39%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.22%EV -19.54%E -6.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.39%EV -14.54%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-23 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.89%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -12.18%E -4.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 07:22
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.79%EV -13.03%E -6.86%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -14.59%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%5.0%2026-04-24 00:15
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 45.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.97%12.7%2026-04-24 01:10
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 44.00%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.00%16.6%2026-04-23 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 20.76%2.46I 40.65%NM 32.49%25.1%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 20.76%2.46I 40.65%NM 32.49%25.1%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 20.76%2.46I 40.65%NM 32.49%25.1%2026-04-24 00:09