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Atlético Tucuman v Argentinos Juniors

Kickoff: 2026-11-03 00:15 UTC

Final: Atlético Tucuman 1–2 Argentinos Juniors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prediction 33.35%3.00fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.75%33.21%33.36%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.802.813.1139.22%35.67%35.59%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Visit)

Prediction 35.18%2.84fair odd
EV -0.796%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.29%35.19%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.602.612.8243.48%38.42%38.31%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.47%3.18fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.888%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.39%31.50%31.45%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.942.953.0937.74%34.07%33.90%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 33.35%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 35.18%; Draw: 31.47%. For Atlético Tucuman (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.88%EV +3.71%E +1.19%K +1.76%G +0.065%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.24%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -8.10%E -2.77%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +1.71%E +0.560%K +0.834%G +0.014%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -12.76%E -5.14%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 00:00
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV +1.71%E +0.560%K +0.834%G +0.014%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -12.76%E -5.14%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 00:01
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV +0.042%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -14.52%E -5.97%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.29%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 00:00
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.29%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-02 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -3.29%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -16.27%E -6.84%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.30%E -3.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-03 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -3.29%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -16.27%E -6.84%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.30%E -3.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-03 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-03 00:00
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.54%EV -1.15%E -0.408%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.41%EV -2.75%E -0.888%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-03 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 00:01
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-03 00:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-03 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -18.39%E -7.92%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.87%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-03 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.75%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.50%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-03 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.796%E -0.282%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.06%E -0.994%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.796%E -0.282%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.06%E -0.994%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 00:05
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -0.796%E -0.282%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.06%E -0.994%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 00:05
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -4.31%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 00:10
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -3.26%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 00:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 00:10
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-03 00:01
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -6.63%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-03 00:04
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-03 00:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-03 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-03 00:10
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-03 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-03 00:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-03 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.05%EV -13.11%E -5.31%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.57%EV -11.24%E -3.99%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-03 00:01
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.15%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 23:57
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.29%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-03 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -11.63%E -4.39%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.14%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.71%EV -12.82%E -4.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-03 00:10
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -12.30%E -4.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.87%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-03 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.63%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.35%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-03 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.12%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.80%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -11.87%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-03 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.56%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.10%EV -19.09%E -8.30%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.33%EV -16.59%E -6.26%K -10.06%G +0.000%20.4%2026-11-03 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-11-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-11-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-11-03 00:10
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-11-03 00:10
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-11-03 00:10

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