Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman v Argentinos Juniors

2026-11-03 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prediction 28.69%3.49fair odd
EV -6.77%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%28.69%28.79%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.093.2534.48%32.37%32.36%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Visit)

Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.41%40.35%41.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.192.3848.78%45.23%45.66%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.90%3.24fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%30.90%30.86%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.903.1035.71%34.13%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 28.69%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 40.41%; Draw: 30.90%. For Argentinos Juniors (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -3.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 18:45
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.85%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 20:35
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 18:43
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 18:40
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.10%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 28.78%EV -11.65%E -3.78%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.66%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-19 00:23
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.94%E -4.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-18 19:07
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -13.94%E -4.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.40%EV -17.16%E -8.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.31%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-19 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -15.37%E -5.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-18 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -16.81%E -5.80%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.07%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.23%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.