The School of Odds
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Atlético Huracán v Gimnasia La Plata

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 22:59 UTC

Final: Atlético Huracán 1–2 Gimnasia La Plata

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prediction 43.32%2.31fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.44%43.18%43.38%45.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.142.152.2852.36%46.79%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)

Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.92%26.19%26.15%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.503.7932.26%28.57%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.56%3.27fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.501%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.00%30.63%30.47%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.023.003.3134.72%33.11%33.33%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Huracán (Local): 43.32%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 26.12%; Draw: 30.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.30%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.15%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV +1.16%E +0.349%K +0.501%G +0.006%4.2%2026-10-15 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.12%EV -5.13%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.82%E -0.886%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-15 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.12%EV -5.13%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -2.82%E -0.886%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-15 22:45
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -1.26%E -0.334%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -4.04%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-15 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.35%E -0.906%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -6.00%E -2.77%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 22:50
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.35%E -0.906%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 22:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 22:45
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.35%E -0.906%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 22:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 22:49
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -1.24%E -0.542%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 22:44
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -7.53%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.09%EV -8.62%E -2.88%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -6.43%E -2.98%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -6.43%E -2.98%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -3.35%E -0.906%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -10.76%E -3.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 22:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -3.35%E -0.906%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -10.76%E -3.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.59%EV -10.76%E -3.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-15 22:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-15 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.80%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.99%EV -11.97%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-15 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.04%EV -17.26%E -9.04%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-15 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.32%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -19.02%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -11.98%E -4.16%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-15 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-10-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-10-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-10-15 22:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-10-15 22:55
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-10-15 22:45