L’École des cotes

Atlético Huracán v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC

Score final : Atlético Huracán 1–0 Banfield

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prévision 47.08%2.12cote équitable
EV -0.199%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.178%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.45%46.97%47.09%48.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.971.972.1254.35%50.79%50.76%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.63%4.85cote équitable
EV +3.35%
Avantage +0.668%
Kelly +0.835%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 5.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.20%20.81%20.58%23.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.464.505.0125.32%22.42%22.22%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.30%3.10cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.491%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.77%32.22%32.33%33.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.722.902.903.0536.76%34.48%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.84%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.20%EV +3.35%E +0.668%K +0.835%G +0.028%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.96%EV -2.79%E -0.927%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.69%EV +1.29%E +0.262%K +0.329%G +0.004%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 00:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV -0.158%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 00:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV -0.158%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 00:05
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -0.983%E -0.205%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 00:10
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.01%E -0.424%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -6.67%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 00:09
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.14%E -4.74%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 00:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.69%EV -9.14%E -4.74%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 23:55
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.95%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 16:19
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.53%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 00:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 00:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 00:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 16:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 00:10
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -11.97%E -6.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -11.97%E -6.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 00:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 23:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -9.23%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.11%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -10.27%E -2.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -10.54%E -3.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 23:53
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.82%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -10.68%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 22:50
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.69%EV -13.38%E -7.27%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.23%EV -12.16%E -4.47%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 00:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -12.33%E -2.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -13.36%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 00:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -13.36%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -0.199%E -0.094%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -14.39%E -3.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -15.42%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 00:10
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:10
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -9.61%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -18.52%E -4.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%0.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%0.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.71%1.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%1.4%2026-07-25 00:10