La escuela de los momios

Atlético Huracán v Banfield

Inicio: 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC

Final: Atlético Huracán 1–0 Banfield

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Predicción 47.08%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.199%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.178%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.45%46.97%47.09%48.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.841.971.972.1254.35%50.79%50.76%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Banfield (Visitante)

Predicción 20.63%4.85momio equitativo
EV +3.35%
Ventaja +0.668%
Kelly +0.835%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.20%20.81%20.58%23.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.464.505.0125.32%22.42%22.22%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.30%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.491%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%32.22%32.33%33.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.722.902.903.0536.76%34.48%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.84%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.20%EV +3.35%E +0.668%K +0.835%G +0.028%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.96%EV -2.79%E -0.927%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.69%EV +1.29%E +0.262%K +0.329%G +0.004%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 00:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV -0.158%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 00:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV -0.158%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 00:05
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -0.983%E -0.205%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 00:10
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.01%E -0.424%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -6.67%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 00:09
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.15%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.14%E -4.74%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -1.50%E -0.491%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 00:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.69%EV -9.14%E -4.74%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 23:55
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.05%E -0.648%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.95%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 16:19
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.53%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 00:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.11%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 00:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 00:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 16:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 00:10
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -11.97%E -6.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -11.97%E -6.40%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 00:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -7.17%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 23:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -9.23%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.11%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -10.27%E -2.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -10.54%E -3.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 23:53
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.82%EV -10.08%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -10.68%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 22:50
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.69%EV -13.38%E -7.27%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -11.30%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.23%EV -12.16%E -4.47%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 00:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -12.33%E -2.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -13.36%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 00:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -13.36%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -0.199%E -0.094%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -14.39%E -3.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -15.42%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 00:10
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -2.08%E -1.00%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:10
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.11%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -17.49%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -9.61%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -18.52%E -4.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%0.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%0.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.71%1.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%1.4%2026-07-25 00:10