A Escola das Odds

Argentinos Juniors v Lanus

Início: 2026-03-27 00:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Previsão 46.16%2.17odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.71%46.06%46.36%47.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.992.002.1255.56%50.22%50.00%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lanus (Visitante)

Previsão 21.81%4.58odd justa
EV +4.91%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.063%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.09%21.89%21.79%24.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.184.104.8126.67%23.93%24.39%20.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.03%3.12odd justa
EV -3.90%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.67%32.05%31.84%33.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.862.883.0039.22%34.93%34.72%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.09%EV +4.91%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -7.42%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV +0.334%E +0.073%K +0.093%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:59
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV +0.334%E +0.073%K +0.093%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:59
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +0.334%E +0.073%K +0.093%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 23:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.21%EV -2.15%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -0.102%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.87%EV -9.35%E -3.30%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.51%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.71%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 23:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 23:59
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.42%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -9.03%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 23:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.37%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 00:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 00:00
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.71%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 23:58
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.92%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 00:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71%EV -2.15%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-26 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.07%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 00:00
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.07%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 00:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.45%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.45%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.16%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.16%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 23:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 00:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.30%EV -10.92%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -8.71%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 23:59
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.43%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-26 23:59
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.38%EV -16.92%E -9.40%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.74%EV -18.32%E -7.18%K -11.82%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.64%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.89%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 23:58
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-26 23:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 00:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-26 23:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -18.21%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -18.21%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-26 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-03-27 00:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-03-26 23:59
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.19%2.5%2026-03-27 00:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%5.3%2026-03-27 00:00