L’École des cotes

Argentinos Juniors v Lanus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 00:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prévision 46.16%2.17cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.71%46.06%46.36%47.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.992.002.1255.56%50.22%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lanus (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.81%4.58cote équitable
EV +4.91%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.063%

avec la cote maximale 4.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.09%21.89%21.79%24.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.184.104.8126.67%23.93%24.39%20.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -3.90%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.67%32.05%31.84%33.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.862.883.0039.22%34.93%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.09%EV +4.91%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -7.42%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV +0.334%E +0.073%K +0.093%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:59
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV +0.334%E +0.073%K +0.093%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:59
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +0.334%E +0.073%K +0.093%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 23:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.21%EV -2.15%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -0.102%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.87%EV -9.35%E -3.30%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.51%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.71%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 23:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 23:59
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.42%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -9.03%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 23:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.37%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 00:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 00:00
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.71%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 23:58
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.92%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 00:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71%EV -2.15%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-26 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.07%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 00:00
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.07%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 00:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.45%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.45%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.16%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.16%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 23:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 00:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.30%EV -10.92%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -8.71%E -3.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 23:59
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.43%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-26 23:59
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.38%EV -16.92%E -9.40%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.74%EV -18.32%E -7.18%K -11.82%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.64%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.89%EV -8.06%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-26 23:58
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-26 23:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 00:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -7.69%E -3.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-26 23:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -18.21%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -18.21%E -4.85%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-26 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-03-27 00:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-03-26 23:59
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.19%2.5%2026-03-27 00:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%5.3%2026-03-27 00:00