Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Argentinos Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-10-27 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

48%

23%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prediction 47.64%2.10fair odd

EV -2.34%

Edge -1.14%

Kelly -2.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.42%47.86%47.28%49.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.911.932.0558.82%52.46%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)

Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd

EV -0.534%

Edge -0.124%

Kelly -0.162%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.93%22.96%23.40%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.064.064.3026.67%24.63%24.63%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.23%3.42fair odd

EV -2.08%

Edge -0.620%

Kelly -0.884%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.94%29.18%29.32%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.163.203.3534.48%31.61%31.30%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 47.64%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 23.13%; Draw: 29.23%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -0.534%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.42%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%	3.93I 25.45%NM 24.21%EV -9.09%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 29.37%EV -5.29%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-18 01:35
1xBet🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.26%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%	4.07I 24.57%NM 23.34%EV -5.85%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -5.59%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-18 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%	3.98I 25.13%NM 23.37%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.43%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-18 00:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.26%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-18 00:24
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.534%E -0.124%K -0.162%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-18 00:25
Bovada🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -10.44%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.85%E -0.678%K -0.890%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -2.08%E -0.620%K -0.884%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-18 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -15.20%E -8.54%K -19.49%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -2.85%E -0.678%K -0.890%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 29.21%EV -11.43%E -3.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-10-18 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 49.85%EV -19.02%E -11.19%K -27.16%G +0.000%	4.05I 24.69%NM 20.93%EV -6.32%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.22%EV -15.23%E -5.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-10-18 00:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.