The School of Odds

Argentinos Juniors v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

2026-07-29 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prediction 68.36%1.46fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -10.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.12%68.28%68.36%68.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.351.4079%75%74%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)

Prediction 8.54%11.70fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.40%8.59%8.54%10.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.009.9910.5011.0013%10%10%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%23.13%23.10%24.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.884.004.1228%26%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.97%EV -9.43%E -0.889%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.09%EV -4.84%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 18:19
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -6.01%E -0.546%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:24
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.01%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -6.01%E -0.546%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -6.35%E -4.64%K -17.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -6.01%E -0.546%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.09%EV -6.35%E -4.64%K -17.16%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -10.28%E -0.979%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 18:04
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -6.01%E -0.546%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 17:45
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -14.55%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 16:54
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.12%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.83%EV -31.64%E -3.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.27%EV -11.14%E -8.57%K -37.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -23.10%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.39%EV -12.50%E -9.77%K -44.65%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 8.85%EV -16.69%E -1.71%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.76%EV -16.15%E -4.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-17 17:43
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 66.16%EV -13.19%E -10.38%K -48.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.50%EV -31.64%E -3.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.34%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-17 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.