Language:English
Argentinos Juniors v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 68.86%1.45fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -7.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.84%68.76%68.98%69.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.361.4178.13%73.87%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)
Prediction 9.58%10.44fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.586%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 11.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%9.71%9.43%11.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.599.8011.0512.50%10.43%10.20%9.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.55%4.64fair odd
EV +0.445%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%21.54%21.59%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.274.304.6625.64%23.40%23.26%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 68.86%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 9.58%; Draw: 21.55%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.22%EV -4.28%E -3.08%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 11.05I 9.05%NM 8.71%EV +5.89%E +0.533%K +0.586%G +0.035% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.07%EV -6.02%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.07%EV -4.28%E -3.08%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.06%EV +1.58%E +0.149%K +0.165%G +0.003% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.04%E -5.21%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +0.621%E +0.059%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.39%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.89%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.41%EV -1.77%E -0.173%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.70%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.89%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.41%EV -1.77%E -0.173%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.70%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.89%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.41%EV -1.77%E -0.173%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.70%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.87%EV -5.66%E -4.13%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.69%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -8.39%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.37%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -8.39%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.36%EV -7.04%E -5.21%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.68%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.39%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.12%EV -7.04%E -5.21%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 00:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -8.41%E -6.33%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.41%E -6.33%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.41%E -6.33%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -4.17%E -0.417%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.40%EV -2.90%E -2.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.70%EV -6.09%E -0.621%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -10.55%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.40%EV -2.90%E -2.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.70%EV -6.09%E -0.621%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -10.55%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.03%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -6.57%E -0.673%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -9.10%E -6.90%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.74%EV -11.86%E -9.26%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -8.96%E -0.943%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.00%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.47%EV -4.97%E -3.60%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.05%EV -9.92%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.00%E -0.667%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.00%E -0.667%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -8.41%E -6.33%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -5.66%E -4.13%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.84%EV -7.04%E -5.21%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -15.94%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -10.48%E -8.06%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.47%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -10.48%E -8.06%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -13.75%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.47%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.06%EV -9.79%E -7.47%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.19%EV -16.15%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -6.35%E -4.67%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -18.54%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 00:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -8.41%E -6.33%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -18.54%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -8.41%E -6.33%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.54%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.94%EV -9.10%E -6.90%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -23.34%E -2.92%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |