L’École des cotes

Argentinos Juniors v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 22:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prévision 67.69%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -5.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.02%67.73%67.57%69.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.361.361.4481.97%73.68%73.53%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.17%9.83cote équitable
EV +11.87%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.141%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.56%10.15%10.24%11.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.379.1011.0012.90%10.67%10.99%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.85%22.11%22.19%23.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.164.204.4426.67%24.03%23.81%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.62%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +11.87%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.141%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.62%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +11.87%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.141%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 21:54
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.78%EV -8.62%E -6.38%K -24.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.87%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.141%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 21:54
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -4.14%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.64%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 21:54
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 21:55
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.55%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +1.70%E +0.170%K +0.189%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.55%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 21:24
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.69%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.96I 10.04%NM 9.65%EV +1.29%E +0.130%K +0.144%G +0.002%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 22:10
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.10%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -0.333%E -0.034%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:44
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.10%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -0.333%E -0.034%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:44
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.81%EV -2.37%E -0.247%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 22:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.81%EV -2.37%E -0.247%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.01%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 22:10
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.17%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 21:24
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -10.65%E -8.07%K -33.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -2.59%E -0.588%K -0.761%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 21:29
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.14%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 21:29
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -8.62%E -6.38%K -24.62%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.78%EV -5.93%E -0.641%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 21:24
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.80%EV -2.52%E -1.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.57%EV -7.45%E -0.819%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -5.91%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 22:09
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -6.59%E -4.77%K -17.33%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.24%EV -7.45%E -0.819%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 22:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 21:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.01%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 22:09
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.17%EV -6.59%E -4.77%K -17.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.59%E -0.588%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 21:59
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 22:09
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 67.48%EV -6.59%E -4.77%K -17.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 21:35
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 21:39
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.42%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.79%EV -11.01%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -4.14%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 21:24
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.23%EV -11.01%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.49%EV -11.89%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 22:09
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.82%EV -13.36%E -10.43%K -47.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 9.92%EV -11.01%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 22:10
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 21:24
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 21:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.95%EV -10.65%E -8.07%K -33.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 22:10
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.28%EV -17.42%E -14.28%K -79.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.80%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.92%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-01 21:29
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.11%EV -8.62%E -6.38%K -24.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -18.64%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.65%EV -10.65%E -8.07%K -33.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.35%EV -21.18%E -2.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.00%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-03-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.57%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-03-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.57%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-03-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-03-01 22:09
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-03-01 22:10