Idioma:Español
Argentinos Juniors v Barracas Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Predicción 67.69%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -5.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.02%67.73%67.57%69.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.361.361.4481.97%73.68%73.53%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barracas Central (Visitante)
Predicción 10.17%9.83momio equitativo
EV +11.87%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.141%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.56%10.15%10.24%11.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.759.379.1011.0012.90%10.67%10.99%9.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.14%4.52momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.85%22.11%22.19%23.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.164.204.4426.67%24.03%23.81%22.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 67.69%; Barracas Central (Visitante): 10.17%; Empate: 22.14%. Para Barracas Central (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.83. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.87%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.62%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +11.87%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.141% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.62%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +11.87%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.141% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.78%EV -8.62%E -6.38%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.87%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.141% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -4.14%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.64%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +6.79%E +0.646%K +0.714%G +0.048% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.55%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +1.70%E +0.170%K +0.189%G +0.003% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.55%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.69%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.96I 10.04%NM 9.65%EV +1.29%E +0.130%K +0.144%G +0.002% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.66%EV -1.70%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.10%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -0.333%E -0.034%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.10%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -0.333%E -0.034%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.81%EV -2.37%E -0.247%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.81%EV -2.37%E -0.247%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.01%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.17%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -10.65%E -8.07%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -2.59%E -0.588%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.14%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -3.38%E -0.356%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.02%EV -8.62%E -6.38%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.78%EV -5.93%E -0.641%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.80%EV -2.52%E -1.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.57%EV -7.45%E -0.819%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -5.91%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -6.59%E -4.77%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.24%EV -7.45%E -0.819%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 21:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.01%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.17%EV -6.59%E -4.77%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.59%E -0.588%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.48%EV -6.59%E -4.77%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.56%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.84%EV -8.47%E -0.941%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-01 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.42%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.79%EV -11.01%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -4.14%E -0.956%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 21:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.23%EV -11.01%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.49%EV -11.89%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.82%EV -13.36%E -10.43%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 9.92%EV -11.01%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -5.23%E -3.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 21:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -9.97%E -7.50%K -30.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 21:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.95%EV -10.65%E -8.07%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.40%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.28%EV -17.42%E -14.28%K -79.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.80%EV -13.55%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.92%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-01 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.11%EV -8.62%E -6.38%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -18.64%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.65%EV -10.65%E -8.07%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.35%EV -21.18%E -2.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.00%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.57% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.57% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 22:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 22:10 |