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Argentinos Juniors v Banfield
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 60.44%1.65fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.95%60.39%60.28%61.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.501.501.6073.53%66.64%66.67%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Banfield (Visit)
Prediction 14.11%7.09fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.172%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.14%14.15%14.14%15.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.316.387.0018.18%15.85%15.69%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%25.47%25.58%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.563.8030.77%28.37%28.09%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 60.44%; Banfield (Visit): 14.11%; Draw: 25.45%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.00, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -3.30%E -2.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -7.11%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -3.30%E -2.06%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -7.11%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -4.51%E -2.85%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -5.44%E -0.812%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -5.11%E -3.26%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.26%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 00:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -5.72%E -3.66%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.26%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.72%E -3.66%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -4.03%E -0.592%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.42%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 12:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -8.74%E -5.79%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.26%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -3.30%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 11:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -9.34%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.26%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.30%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -9.34%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.26%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 02:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -9.34%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -1.20%E -0.172%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -9.34%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.26%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 11:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.63%EV -11.76%E -8.06%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -16.73%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-27 01:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.76%EV -12.37%E -8.53%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.98%EV -12.50%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -16.02%E -4.85%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-27 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.76%EV -12.37%E -8.53%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.98%EV -12.50%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -16.02%E -4.85%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-27 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.85%EV -12.97%E -9.01%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.79%EV -11.79%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.36%EV -16.78%E -5.13%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-27 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.97%E -9.01%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -22.38%E -4.07%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -13.47%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-27 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 58.98%EV -13.57%E -9.49%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.06%EV -20.96%E -3.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.95%EV -17.29%E -5.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-03-27 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.25%EV -17.80%E -13.09%K -49.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.88%EV -15.32%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -14.75%E -4.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-27 11:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 33.23% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.55% | 186.6% | 2026-03-26 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 33.23% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.55% | 186.6% | 2026-03-26 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 32.91% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.22% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.87% | 189.4% | 2026-03-27 08:55 |