La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Argentinos Juniors v Atlético Tucuman
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -6.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.05%57.90%57.93%58.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.71%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético Tucuman (Visitante)
Predicción 15.75%6.35momio equitativo
EV +4.13%
Ventaja +0.625%
Kelly +0.736%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.52%15.81%15.64%17.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.815.806.6120.00%17.22%17.24%15.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.670%
Kelly -0.918%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.18%26.30%26.43%26.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.523.553.7031.25%28.45%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.52%EV -5.06%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.52%EV +4.13%E +0.625%K +0.736%G +0.030% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.80%EV +2.71%E +0.416%K +0.491%G +0.013% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.73%EV -4.85%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +2.40%E +0.369%K +0.436%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +2.40%E +0.369%K +0.436%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.15%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -1.54%E -0.247%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.32%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.12%E -0.507%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.22%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -3.91%E -0.640%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -3.91%E -0.640%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.96%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -9.69%E -6.21%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -9.69%E -6.21%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.26%EV -10.27%E -6.63%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -2.48%E -0.670%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 00:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.58%EV -10.27%E -6.63%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -11.78%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -11.18%E -3.32%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.06%EV -13.17%E -8.78%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -11.78%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.02%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.48%E -0.670%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 00:39 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 00:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.75%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.73%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.27%E -6.63%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 00:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.43%E -7.47%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.25%EV -10.85%E -7.05%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -13.02%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.30%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.95%EV -10.85%E -7.05%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -18.08%E -3.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05%EV -11.43%E -7.47%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%EV -21.23%E -4.25%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -15.66%E -4.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.32% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |