مدرسة الاحتمالات

Argentinos Juniors v Atlético Tucuman

البداية: 2026-04-19 00:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Atlético Tucuman

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

37 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Argentinos Juniors (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.89%1.73السعر العادل
EV -4.48%
الأفضلية -2.72%
Kelly -6.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.05%57.90%57.93%58.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.71%62.50%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlético Tucuman (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.75%6.35السعر العادل
EV +4.13%
الأفضلية +0.625%
Kelly +0.736%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.52%15.81%15.64%17.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.815.806.6120.00%17.22%17.24%15.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.36%3.79السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -0.670%
Kelly -0.918%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.18%26.30%26.43%26.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.523.553.7031.25%28.45%28.17%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.52%EV -5.06%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.52%EV +4.13%E +0.625%K +0.736%G +0.030%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 00:40
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.80%EV +2.71%E +0.416%K +0.491%G +0.013%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.73%EV -4.85%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 00:30
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +2.40%E +0.369%K +0.436%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +2.40%E +0.369%K +0.436%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.15%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -1.54%E -0.247%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 00:30
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.32%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -3.12%E -0.507%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.22%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -3.91%E -0.640%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.48%EV -3.91%E -0.640%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 00:25
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 00:25
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 00:25
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 00:30
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.96%E -5.00%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 00:35
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.48%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 00:35
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.48%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:25
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -9.69%E -6.21%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -9.69%E -6.21%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.26%EV -10.27%E -6.63%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -8.63%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -2.48%E -0.670%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 00:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:34
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:30
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -9.42%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.58%EV -10.27%E -6.63%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -11.78%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -11.18%E -3.32%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.06%EV -13.17%E -8.78%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -11.78%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.02%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-19 00:35
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.48%E -0.670%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 00:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 00:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.75%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 00:35
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:40
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.73%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 00:40
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.27%E -6.63%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.39%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 00:34
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.43%E -7.47%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.25%EV -10.85%E -7.05%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.36%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -13.02%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 00:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.30%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.95%EV -10.85%E -7.05%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -18.08%E -3.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05%EV -11.43%E -7.47%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%EV -21.23%E -4.25%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -15.66%E -4.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 00:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-04-19 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-19 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-19 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-19 00:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%2.8%2026-04-19 00:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-19 00:35