L’École des cotes

Argentinos Juniors v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 00:30 UTC

Score final : Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Atlético Huracán

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prévision 50.09%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.31%50.18%50.16%52.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.841.851.9558.14%54.47%54.20%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.14%5.51cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.340%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%18.15%18.07%19.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.085.005.6022.22%19.70%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV +0.083%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.84%31.66%31.77%32.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.09%34.19%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +1.56%E +0.279%K +0.340%G +0.005%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 23:59
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.98%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV +0.839%E +0.151%K +0.184%G +0.002%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.75%EV -6.91%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 00:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 23:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.81%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV -0.793%E -0.145%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.30%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 00:15
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -1.16%E -0.212%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -1.16%E -0.212%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 00:10
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -1.16%E -0.212%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -9.34%E -5.16%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV +0.083%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -9.34%E -5.16%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV +0.083%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 00:10
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV +0.083%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -7.22%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:25
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.25%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 00:10
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.86%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 00:25
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -12.84%E -7.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -3.09%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -12.84%E -7.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -3.09%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -13.84%E -8.05%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 00:10
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 00:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 23:58
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 00:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 00:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 23:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.93%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 23:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.64%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 23:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -12.04%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -7.22%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 00:15
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.67%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.70%EV -10.40%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-13 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.38%EV -13.34%E -7.71%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.46%EV -11.99%E -4.33%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.85%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 23:55
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -12.84%E -7.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.43%EV -13.85%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-13 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.83%E -4.26%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -14.76%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 00:05
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -8.83%E -4.85%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -14.76%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 23:55
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -16.57%E -3.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.23%EV -10.84%E -6.09%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.67%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-05-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-05-13 00:15
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%1.0%2026-05-13 00:15
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-05-13 00:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%2.9%2026-05-13 00:00