La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Argentinos Juniors v Atlético Huracán
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Predicción 50.09%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.31%50.18%50.16%52.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.841.851.9558.14%54.47%54.20%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético Huracán (Visitante)
Predicción 18.14%5.51momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.279%
Kelly +0.340%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.55%18.15%18.07%19.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.085.005.6022.22%19.70%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.77%3.15momio equitativo
EV +0.083%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.84%31.66%31.77%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.09%34.19%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +1.56%E +0.279%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.98%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV +0.839%E +0.151%K +0.184%G +0.002% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.75%EV -6.91%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 00:20 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.81%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV -0.793%E -0.145%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.30%EV -5.00%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -1.16%E -0.212%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -1.16%E -0.212%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -1.16%E -0.212%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.70%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -9.34%E -5.16%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV +0.083%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -9.34%E -5.16%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV +0.083%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.33%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV +0.083%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -7.22%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.25%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.86%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -12.84%E -7.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -3.09%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -12.84%E -7.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -3.09%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -13.84%E -8.05%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 23:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.93%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 23:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.64%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -12.04%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.26%EV -7.22%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.67%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.70%EV -10.40%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.38%EV -13.34%E -7.71%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.46%EV -11.99%E -4.33%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -13.85%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -12.84%E -7.38%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.43%EV -13.85%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.83%E -4.26%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -14.76%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -8.83%E -4.85%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -14.76%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -16.57%E -3.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.23%EV -10.84%E -6.09%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.67%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-13 00:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13% | 2.9% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |