Language:English
Argentinos Juniors v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 69.04%1.45fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -10.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.50%68.88%69.03%70.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.341.3978.13%74.54%74.63%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 9.83%10.17fair odd
EV +14.99%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.210%
assuming max odds 11.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.22%9.94%9.95%11.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.579.5011.7012.90%10.45%10.53%8.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.13%4.73fair odd
EV -0.885%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%21.18%21.02%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.334.334.6925.32%23.07%23.09%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 69.04%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 9.83%; Draw: 21.13%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.17. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.16%EV -4.04%E -2.90%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.22%EV +14.99%E +1.28%K +1.40%G +0.210% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -10.18%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.75%EV -8.87%E -6.72%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +8.11%E +0.737%K +0.811%G +0.066% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.14%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +3.20%E +0.304%K +0.336%G +0.011% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.64%EV -0.885%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.14%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +3.20%E +0.304%K +0.336%G +0.011% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.64%EV -0.885%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.14%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +3.20%E +0.304%K +0.336%G +0.011% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.64%EV -0.885%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +3.20%E +0.304%K +0.336%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +3.20%E +0.304%K +0.336%G +0.011% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.59%EV -7.49%E -5.59%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +3.20%E +0.304%K +0.336%G +0.011% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.79%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 10.43I 9.59%NM 9.23%EV +2.51%E +0.240%K +0.266%G +0.007% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.98%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.70%EV -5.42%E -3.95%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.72%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.72%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -1.72%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -10.25%E -7.88%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -1.72%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -2.79%E -0.606%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.08%EV -10.94%E -8.48%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -1.72%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.08%EV -10.94%E -8.48%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -1.72%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.35%EV -7.49%E -5.59%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.53%EV -4.18%E -0.428%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 19:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.03%EV -5.42%E -3.95%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.03%EV -5.42%E -3.95%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.17%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -8.18%E -6.15%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 19:36 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.49%EV -7.49%E -5.59%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.49%EV -7.49%E -5.59%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.18%E -6.15%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -6.63%E -0.698%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.96%EV -5.42%E -3.95%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.05%EV -7.62%E -0.810%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.68%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -9.09%E -0.983%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.28%EV -8.87%E -6.72%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.74%EV -9.09%E -0.983%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.11%E -4.49%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -11.55%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -10.25%E -7.88%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -11.55%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.72%EV -8.87%E -6.72%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -11.55%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.72%EV -8.87%E -6.72%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -11.55%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -10.25%E -7.88%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -11.55%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.33%EV -16.52%E -4.18%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.91%EV -5.42%E -3.95%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.46%E -1.94%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.66%EV -10.25%E -7.88%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -16.46%E -1.94%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.36%EV -11.63%E -9.09%K -41.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -16.46%E -1.94%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-30 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -8.18%E -6.15%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -21.37%E -2.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.69%EV -8.87%E -6.72%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -23.83%E -3.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.50%EV -7.49%E -5.59%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.50%EV -23.83%E -3.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -14.41%E -3.56%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.84% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.84% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.84% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.26% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.68% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |