Language:English
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Union Santa Fe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 35.00%2.86fair odd
EV -0.236%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.85%34.93%35.01%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.702.8541.67%37.33%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union Santa Fe (Visit)
Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.37%33.50%33.43%35.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.732.752.9240.82%36.59%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.73%31.57%31.56%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.772.922.923.0936.10%34.23%34.25%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 35.00%; Union Santa Fe (Visit): 33.42%; Draw: 31.58%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.236%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -0.236%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.72%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -0.236%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.72%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -1.29%E -0.456%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.92%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -4.00%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -1.29%E -0.456%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.92%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -4.00%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 17:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.28%EV -1.29%E -0.456%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.92%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -4.00%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.03%EV -1.29%E -0.456%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.42%E -0.829%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -1.99%E -0.710%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -3.39%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -2.43%E -0.785%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -3.74%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 15:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -3.74%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 16:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.74%E -1.36%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 17:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 17:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.86%EV -17.12%E -6.90%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 17:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-21 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -18.13%E -7.40%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.94%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.30%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.30%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 15:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -8.99%E -3.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -10.74%E -4.21%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.41%EV -11.79%E -4.68%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.53%EV -10.64%E -3.76%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.49%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.42%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -12.49%E -5.00%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.98%EV -10.77%E -4.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.79%EV -12.53%E -4.52%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-21 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -15.99%E -6.66%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |