The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v River Plate

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prediction 12.87%7.77fair odd
EV -6.71%
Edge -0.926%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.18%12.87%12.87%14.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.256.696.757.2516.00%14.94%14.81%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

River Plate (Visit)

Prediction 63.76%1.57fair odd
EV -6.27%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -13.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.68%63.76%63.76%64.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.401.411.4776.34%71.17%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.37%4.28fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.577%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.44%23.37%23.37%23.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.873.884.2028.17%25.84%25.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 12.87%; River Plate (Visit): 63.76%; Draw: 23.37%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.85%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.18%EV -6.71%E -0.926%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.97%EV -12.01%E -8.70%K -31.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.53%E -3.66%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 18:50
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -9.93%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -6.27%E -4.26%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -1.85%E -0.440%K -0.577%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -9.93%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -6.27%E -4.26%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -1.85%E -0.440%K -0.577%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 12.18%EV -11.21%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 64.15%EV -16.47%E -12.57%K -53.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.67%EV -17.04%E -4.80%K -6.68%G +0.000%19.0%2026-11-01 18:50
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -13.14%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -8.18%E -5.68%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.52%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -13.14%E -1.95%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.79%EV -12.01%E -8.70%K -31.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -17.65%E -2.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -9.46%E -6.66%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.86%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -17.65%E -2.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -9.46%E -6.66%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.86%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -19.58%E -3.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.99%EV -10.73%E -7.67%K -26.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -10.03%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.64%EV -19.58%E -3.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.68%EV -13.28%E -9.77%K -36.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -15.87%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-11-01 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.