Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Gimnasia La Plata

2026-08-02 17:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

34%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd

EV -3.76%

Edge -1.32%

Kelly -2.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.28%33.77%33.78%34.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.502.712.752.8540.00%36.91%36.36%35.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)

Prediction 34.21%2.92fair odd

EV -3.53%

Edge -1.25%

Kelly -1.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.33%34.07%34.17%34.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.502.682.702.8240.00%37.31%37.04%35.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd

EV -3.93%

Edge -1.31%

Kelly -1.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.03%32.16%32.05%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.552.842.893.0039.22%35.16%34.60%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.93%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-26 11:35
NordicBet	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.94%EV -4.78%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.94%EV -3.53%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-26 11:50
Betsson	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.94%EV -4.78%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.94%EV -3.53%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-26 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.93%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-26 11:45
Codere (IT)	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.22%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-26 11:05
1xBet	2.79I 35.84%NM 34.06%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%	2.79I 35.84%NM 34.06%EV -4.56%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-26 11:45
SportsBet	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-26 11:05
FanDuel	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-26 11:10
BetMGM	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-26 11:50
betfred_uk	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-26 11:04
Marathon Bet	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.27%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-26 11:31
BoyleSports	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.64%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-26 11:05
Betclic (FR)	2.63I 38.02%NM 33.33%EV -11.19%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 33.33%EV -10.03%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 33.33%EV -15.78%E -6.00%K -9.68%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-07-26 11:05
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-26 11:06
Sky Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -14.48%E -5.79%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%	15.5%	2026-07-26 11:10
Winamax (DE)	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -12.77%E -5.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%	15.5%	2026-07-26 11:05
Unibet (FR)	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.33%EV -12.77%E -5.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.33%EV -18.34%E -7.19%K -11.83%G +0.000%	17.6%	2026-07-26 11:05
Winamax (FR)	2.50I 40.00%NM 33.77%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 33.77%EV -14.48%E -5.79%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.47%EV -16.74%E -6.44%K -10.46%G +0.000%	18.5%	2026-07-26 11:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.