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Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Gimnasia La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV +5.68%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%29.90%29.95%31.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.103.5334.72%32.08%32.26%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 36.00%2.78fair odd
EV -0.287%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.96%36.02%35.98%38.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.7741.67%38.91%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.72%34.09%34.07%35.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.752.8540.00%36.87%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 29.94%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 36.00%; Draw: 34.06%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV +5.68%E +1.61%K +2.25%G +0.128% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -4.96%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -0.606%E -0.183%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.87%EV -5.64%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -0.606%E -0.183%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.87%EV -5.64%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -0.606%E -0.183%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.87%EV -5.64%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.70%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.70%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.70%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.08%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -0.287%E -0.104%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -5.64%E -2.04%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.30%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.30%E -1.91%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.43%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.43%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.69%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -10.73%E -4.33%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -11.43%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.79%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -9.29%E -3.69%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.61%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -11.43%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.43%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.81%E -4.82%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -14.84%E -5.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.59%EV -11.08%E -3.73%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.61%EV -13.61%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -11.43%E -4.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -11.81%E -4.82%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -13.18%E -4.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -13.78%E -4.78%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
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