Language:English
Aldosivi Mar del Plata v CA Tigre BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -0.506%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.207%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.10%29.02%28.85%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.173.203.4435.09%31.51%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Tigre BA (Visit)
Prediction 37.14%2.69fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.641%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.01%37.13%37.17%38.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.7442.55%40.14%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.94%2.95fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%33.86%33.99%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.752.9139.22%36.61%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 28.92%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 37.14%; Draw: 33.94%. For CA Tigre BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV +1.76%E +0.641%K +1.01%G +0.018% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.93%EV -9.38%E -3.51%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -1.59%E -0.599%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.41%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.47%EV -4.63%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -5.65%E -2.03%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -5.65%E -2.03%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -6.29%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -5.67%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.44%EV -8.02%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -0.506%E -0.147%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.67%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -0.506%E -0.147%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.67%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -1.23%E -0.424%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.79%EV -16.70%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.75%EV -7.90%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.46%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.79%EV -16.70%E -5.80%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.75%EV -7.90%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.46%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -17.57%E -6.17%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -10.74%E -4.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.74%E -4.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -10.87%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -10.74%E -4.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.12%EV -11.99%E -5.06%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -13.45%E -5.28%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -12.73%E -5.42%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -12.73%E -5.42%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
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