Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Huracán

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)

Prediction 29.12%3.43fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.02%29.22%29.19%30.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.5534.48%31.67%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 35.75%2.80fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.93%35.73%35.75%38.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.602.7542.55%38.78%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%35.05%35.06%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.652.7642.55%38.00%37.74%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 29.12%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 35.75%; Draw: 35.13%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV +3.37%E +0.950%K +1.32%G +0.045%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.22%EV -10.28%E -4.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.76%EV -3.03%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 18:25
Pinnacle🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.78%EV -2.16%E -0.643%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.42%EV -2.41%E -0.883%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.81%EV -5.14%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.16%E -0.643%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.23%EV -5.99%E -2.28%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.42%EV -5.49%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 03:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.16%E -0.643%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.23%EV -5.99%E -2.28%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.42%EV -5.49%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 03:29
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 18:04
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 18:05
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.95%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 18:05
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.95%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 18:00
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.16%E -4.87%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.62%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.76%EV -8.30%E -3.18%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.14%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 10:00
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 18:09
Everygame🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.65%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 18:05
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 18:10
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.95%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 18:05
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -1.70%E -0.617%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 18:25
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.14%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 09:49
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 10:00
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.65%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 18:05
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -12.16%E -4.87%K -8.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.14%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 09:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 18:00
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.16%E -4.87%K -8.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-16 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -14.92%E -6.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -15.68%E -6.53%K -11.20%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-16 18:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 08:50
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -8.65%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-16 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 29.47%EV -11.77%E -3.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.08%EV -7.95%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 18:01
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.14%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -5.14%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -8.65%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.28%EV -13.52%E -4.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.93%EV -13.49%E -5.58%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.16%E -4.87%K -8.11%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-16 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.10%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.10%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.89%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -14.10%E -4.78%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -7.60%E -2.89%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -14.21%E -5.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -8.65%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-16 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -16.00%E -6.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.43%E -7.42%K -12.91%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-16 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%0.7%2026-03-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%0.7%2026-03-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%0.7%2026-03-16 18:25
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%0.7%2026-03-16 18:20
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%0.9%2026-03-16 18:10
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.56%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.56%1.9%2026-03-16 18:20