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Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Argentinos Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local)
Prediction 21.76%4.59fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -0.912%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.95%21.71%21.75%22.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.204.4526.67%23.95%23.81%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 48.27%2.07fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -5.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.36%48.28%49.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.881.901.9658.82%53.26%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%29.93%29.97%30.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.103.2535.71%32.80%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Local): 21.76%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 48.27%; Draw: 29.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -3.15%E -0.707%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.43%EV -5.38%E -2.75%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -5.92%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 02:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.73%E -5.20%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -5.32%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 00:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -7.80%E -4.08%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 12:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 00:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -6.83%E -3.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.63%E -0.809%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 06:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -6.83%E -3.54%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.63%E -0.809%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -2.63%E -0.809%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 06:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -7.80%E -4.08%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.30%EV -7.80%E -4.08%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -8.62%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 05:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -6.35%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -6.52%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.31%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.62%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.11%EV -7.72%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -5.38%E -2.75%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.05%EV -6.52%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.80%E -4.08%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 06:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.80%E -4.08%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.76%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -11.66%E -6.37%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 06:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -11.85%E -2.93%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.14%E -6.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -12.52%E -4.29%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-27 17:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -12.94%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.39%EV -13.11%E -7.28%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.52%E -4.29%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-27 06:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.94%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.29%EV -13.11%E -7.28%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.94%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.29%EV -13.11%E -7.28%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.94%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -13.11%E -7.28%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -16.11%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -14.03%E -3.55%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.10%EV -11.17%E -6.07%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -15.12%E -3.88%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.03%EV -13.11%E -7.28%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-27 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.34%EV -15.12%E -3.88%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.95%EV -17.93%E -10.55%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -16.11%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-27 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.61%EV -18.38%E -4.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.64%EV -14.07%E -7.90%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.75%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.49% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.49% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.49% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.17% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.23% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |